He calls himself an “honest pollster”

He calls himself an “honest pollster”

But he is not honest – do you see the problem?

He using a trick to co-mingle what are basically two groups by combining them into a single group.

The figure that 48% of 18–29-year-olds report having full-time jobs is broadly accurate, but it masks significant variation within that age band—especially between college-aged individuals and post-graduates.

📊 What the Data Shows

  • According to recent Bureau of Labor Statistics data:
    • 53.1% of 16–24-year-olds were employed in July 2025, but this includes part-time and seasonal work.
    • Among 18–29-year-olds, surveys like those from Pew and Generation Lab suggest that roughly half report full-time employment, though definitions vary (some include gig work or contract roles).
  • College enrollment skews the lower end:
    • About 60% of 18–22-year-olds are enrolled in higher education.
    • Many of these students work part-time or not at all, which drags down full-time employment rates for the entire 18–29 bracket.

🧠 Why It Feels Biased

You’re picking up on a classic aggregation bias: combining a wide age range (18–29) into one statistic obscures the fact that:

  • 18–22-year-olds are mostly students, often not working full-time.
  • 23–29-year-olds are more likely to be in the workforce full-time.

So yes, the 48% figure is technically accurate, but it’s not representative of any single subgroup within that range.

Sources:
BLS Youth Employment Summary – July 2025
CNBC–Generation Lab Survey of Young Workers

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